Thanks again for peeking in and checking out our MLS weekly article. Last week was busy, crazy, and ended with us being up 4.72 units. We are not +24.69 units on the year with 9 straight (!!!) winning weeks!
There will be no weekly recap of each game, but you can see LAST WEEK's picks summed up below.
Our big winners of the week were Orlando (an easy call) at +240, Cincy over Toronto at +400, and Galaxy over the Quakes at +230. Those bets EASILY made up for the losses we took on Wednesday.
Skip below for THIS WEEK's picks!
LAST WEEK's BETS-
Week 10 Toll-Booth Picks
Game- Chicago Fire host Atlanta United
Pick- Atlanta United +220
Chicago is going into their third game of a 4 game home stand with only 1 win on the MLS season. Their impressive 3-3 tie last week against the East powerhouse Philadelphia Union brings their goal total for the season up to 7- the lowest in major league soccer.
Adding to their woes- Chicago is dead last in expected goal differential (13.9 expected goals and only 7 converted). If they can score they have a chance to beat an Atlanta team that hasn’t found the back of the net in two appearances.
Atlanta is winless in their last 5, but in fairness they have faced some of the top teams in the league- Sounders, Nashville, the Union, NYCFC and RBNY in that span. This is the perfect chance for them to turn their season around with a road victory before another tough stretch against Nashville and the Revolution to start the month of July.
Key to the Game-
I have to give the advantage to Atlanta in this match because of their robust young midfield options. Marcelina Moreno has been a featured player in past i80 Sports episodes and is joined by Sosa and Barco in a trio that should keep the aging Gaston Gimenez and Alvaro Medran on their toes.
Game- DC United host Toronto FC
Pick- DC United -125
My favorite dark-horse (DCU) is facing the team I will be picking on throughout 2021 (Toronto) in a game I will be getting heavy exposure on.
Last week in his first game with DC, Dutch attacker Nigel Robertha (formerly from the 2nd Dutch league) scored by pulling down a pass and shooting LEFT FOOTED from an awkward angle. He opened his scoring account in MLS with this exceptional goal.
Toronto, on the other hand, is still without Jozy Altidore (disciplinary reasons) and may still be without Alejandro Pozuelo and Yeferson Soteldo. They will be relying once again on magic from Ayo Akinola and an aging supporting cast.
Key to the Game-
I expect DC United to be the more aggressive team and look to use the long ball against an error-prone Toronto side.
Julian Gressel has 30 “key passes” for DC United and adds a league leading 64 crosses. His matchup against Toronto’s Kemar Lawrence will play a large part in deciding the outcome of this match.
Game- Nashville SC host the Philadelphia Union
Pick- Philadelphia Union +270
I guess I needed an away underdog pick and the best odds I can find is the Philadelphia Union vs a Leal-less Nashville SC. Randal Leal leaves for international duty in the same game where Nashville MAY get Jhonder Cadiz back from his national team.
Overall Philadelphia is in better form going undefeated in their last 9 games. During that span they outscore their opponent 15-7 on the back of their defense and some great performances by Corey Burke.
Key to the Game-
Can Philadelphia take more chances?
The Union are absolute last in MLS in average shot distance, at only 14.3 yards per shot. They will not be able to walk goals in against a strong Nashville core.
Two weeks ago we saw an amazing game-tying long range goal by Glesnes. If Philadelphia can take more chances, they can leave this match with a victory.
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